TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes22c15,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70010945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No78c8,962$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,990.3612654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c4,416$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes21c4,215$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.636939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c4,044$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.9970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No21c2,937$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.461030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No10c2,579$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.792917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c2,410$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.033,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No80c2,039$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5603141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No19c1,846$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.013240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes79c1,251$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.716339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,174$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes21c996.76$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.4439435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c980.68$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.461,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No21c901$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.59726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No78c840$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.236247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No31c690.38$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.061526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes70c591.13$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No78c489$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes80c473.5$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5222042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff5…545cbacked No80c462.45$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c456.09$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.171,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes77c428.75$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.752356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258e…a42dbacked No12c414.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c390.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No44c371.58$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes60c325$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No17c273.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.199540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked No29c250$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes74c246.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.031,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No46c232.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.084344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2110840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes79c205$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0517137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No80c175$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No14c174.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes54c174.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.678344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf214…91e1backed Yes22c156.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes73c147$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes20c138$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes21c135$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.653026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes20c124.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked No80c108.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes74c108$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.243250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes19c106.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes77c99.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.324566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes68c97.3$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbe…b6e2backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+134.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes21c95.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.137147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes20c91.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes16c85.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.86636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…d0abbacked Yes70c84.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No33c79.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.986453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No46c75.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9126050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes20c73.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.814942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed No79c72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No25c69.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes20c69.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1219642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes19c67.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1612850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes20c67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.618456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No45c66.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes15c66.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.675850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes21c63.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0712356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ab…81bbbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Yes76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes22c59.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.093046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes20c57.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.749345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No25c55.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No28c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153f…07c4backed Yes74c47.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes22c45.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.813534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes35c40.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No79c37.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.986460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8864…7948backed Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No78c31.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked No79c31.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c30.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.855263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No49c23.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4519852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes66c15.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No79c13.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.