Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nouza/Oberleitner vs Bolelli/Vavassori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6de01ade58bf444917622283032af33ce112b366d5c56bb24e6b41d88546673a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bolelli/Vavassoriof Nouza/Oberleitner, Bolelli/Vavassori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 650.09$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 69c | 471.43$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 21c | 399.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 53c | 388.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 27c | 378.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 37c | 359.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 74c | 350$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 40c | 247.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…e855backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 71c | 235.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 31c | 147.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 141.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 28c | 138.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 127.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 33c | 123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 65c | 121.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 23c | 109.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 30c | 109.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 50c | 100.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 33c | 99.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 58c | 97.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 41c | 97.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 93.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 90.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 37c | 79.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 26c | 77.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 28c | 71.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 43c | 69.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 37c | 66.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 37c | 56.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…8b00backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 31c | 47.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 77c | 46.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 42c | 45.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…9656backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 30c | 41.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 65c | 35.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1a6dbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…2737backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nouza/Oberleitner | 44c | 26.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab6…cfafbacked Nouza/Oberleitner | 44c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 66c | 22.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.