Tennis · resolved market
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Oriol Roca Batalla
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701f4432f15f5f0b9c9ac3594785176c887cf1d49ecf06b89cf746553be07e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Nardiof Luca Nardi, Oriol Roca Batalla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 16c | 5,538$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 14c | 4,029$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 20c | 3,513$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.59 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 5c | 2,099$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 16c | 1,810$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 14c | 1,571$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 1,452$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.61 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 14c | 1,398$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 34c | 971.32$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.25 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 24c | 875$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 15c | 718.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 2c | 638.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…224dbacked Luca Nardi | 66c | 635.77$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 621.48$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 14c | 538.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Luca Nardi | 65c | 482.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Luca Nardi | 69c | 428.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 390.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Luca Nardi | 69c | 390.13$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 20c | 363.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 320$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Luca Nardi | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 30c | 281.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 34c | 240.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 16c | 211.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Luca Nardi | 78c | 209.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 31c | 188.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 177.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 14c | 153.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 8c | 141.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…5e72backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Luca Nardi | 72c | 97.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 19c | 94.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Luca Nardi | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 88.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 17c | 82.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 77.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 61.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Luca Nardi | 72c | 60.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 49.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Luca Nardi | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Luca Nardi | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Luca Nardi | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Luca Nardi | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.