Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7082b62a29ab5fa1d6ba6511ac251efd7cf7fb9af388b2f1138caa298a49a5e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 4,275$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 2,225$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.41 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 31c | 2,063$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 21c | 2,059$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 20c | 1,999$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 1,836$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.51 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 1,341$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 915.26$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 25c | 880$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 849.22$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 23c | 719.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 530.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 519.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 415.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 365$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 342.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 241.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 219$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 10c | 212.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 201.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 188.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 158.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 130.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 20c | 127.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 77c | 124.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 9c | 113.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 113.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed Yes | 26c | 106.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 102.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 19c | 68.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 76c | 59.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 57.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 53.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 76c | 52.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 76c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 31.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 60c | 29.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.