TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Bogota: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Samuel Linde

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santiago Rodriguez Tavernaof Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, Samuel Linde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Samuel Linde13c11,971$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.893,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Samuel Linde13c4,457$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.835,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Samuel Linde19c3,612$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.348,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Samuel Linde16c3,258$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a4…4917backed Samuel Linde33c2,714$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.213735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Samuel Linde45c2,220$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.264,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna76c1,833$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0320155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Samuel Linde14c1,396$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283e…6381backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna69c1,103$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.472334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Samuel Linde15c1,051$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna69c879.59$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.614,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna74c692.29$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.541,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna70c689.06$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Samuel Linde19c684.22$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.86,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Samuel Linde10c683.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Samuel Linde16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6758…baecbacked Samuel Linde11c611.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna79c524.5$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.787751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…4525backed Samuel Linde41c472.12$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.576429.7%19 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna73c457$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.211,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Samuel Linde9c436.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.298,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Samuel Linde16c400.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.122,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna62c397.62$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.094,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf188…4a83backed Samuel Linde37c395.95$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14712423.4%29 W · 95 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Samuel Linde44c387.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16935248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna67c340$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.227753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna67c320.09$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.133,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Samuel Linde17c261.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd7…f2c8backed Samuel Linde12c256.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna78c256$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.511,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna67c222.51$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.432,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Samuel Linde9c215.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8532726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna68c192.38$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.131,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Samuel Linde13c185.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Samuel Linde29c164.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.013,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Samuel Linde8c149.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7554141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d09…7fd6backed Samuel Linde30c147.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.210627.4%29 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna75c144.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7121447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna72c140.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.852,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Samuel Linde11c136.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Samuel Linde23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Samuel Linde27c117.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna75c104.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8627363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna55c101.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.826149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4336053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b6…1514backed Samuel Linde13c97.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna60c97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Samuel Linde17c90.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Samuel Linde20c84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna66c70.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.212,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Samuel Linde17c67.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Samuel Linde15c66.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna77c64.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.535349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Samuel Linde25c53.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Samuel Linde41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna67c50.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7544051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dc…7cf2backed Samuel Linde44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.366464.1%41 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Samuel Linde33c39.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2212029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna70c36.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.981,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna79c24.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1475350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8172755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna53c22.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.69450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.226640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4b…b048backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.527550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4529551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.652157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…c5a0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna73c15.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.073748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.