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NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Penguins, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins55c3,269$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.0936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Penguins56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…6d6cbacked Penguins56c2,320$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blackhawks44c2,095$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.2619555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed Blackhawks44c1,829$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.351070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e64…2ae1backed Blackhawks44c1,755$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08eb…50d6backed Penguins56c1,755$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Penguins56c1,509$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8455145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blackhawks45c1,407$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7330549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c43…1f64backed Penguins56c1,402$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.121353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Blackhawks44c1,402$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.121030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins14c1,300$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Blackhawks44c922.45$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks44c885.9$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blackhawks44c822.11$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks44c821.09$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.111,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks45c786.91$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks44c719.32$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Blackhawks44c712.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0813845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Blackhawks50c597.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.322544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Penguins56c550$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins6c471.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks44c453$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penguins44c452.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Penguins56c430$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Blackhawks43c299.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9620649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Blackhawks44c236$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.167361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blackhawks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Blackhawks43c217.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blackhawks64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd5…ff37backed Blackhawks45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ee…7cd4backed Penguins56c139.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x531b…bb7cbacked Penguins56c120.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.712450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8d…2263backed Penguins54c119$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…9cd9backed Blackhawks46c119$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d89…cfcfbacked Blackhawks46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…c425backed Penguins54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0c…b94fbacked Blackhawks45c113.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0edb…702bbacked Blackhawks46c111$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cf…db00backed Penguins54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…4f41backed Blackhawks44c108.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…cea1backed Penguins54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55cc…af16backed Blackhawks46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…d56fbacked Blackhawks46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…29c6backed Penguins54c107$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blackhawks45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…3781backed Penguins56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Penguins20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Penguins29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Penguins56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e9…a50ebacked Blackhawks45c98.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8d…7034backed Penguins56c97.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe52a…cb4abacked Blackhawks45c97.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.485100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1829…6c96backed Penguins56c97.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93e…6f31backed Penguins57c96.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb861…a05bbacked Penguins57c93.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfb…a817backed Blackhawks46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821f…6493backed Penguins54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa865…a199backed Penguins56c91.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf060…2a72backed Penguins54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fd…6700backed Blackhawks46c89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c6…0d19backed Penguins54c87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7387…224dbacked Blackhawks46c87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d9…49f1backed Penguins56c86.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…5f98backed Blackhawks46c83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7542…caa2backed Penguins54c83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec83…2e36backed Penguins56c81.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…1d14backed Blackhawks44c80.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb46…b6fabacked Blackhawks44c78.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…c798backed Blackhawks46c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…1363backed Penguins54c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…3282backed Penguins56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb276…1be2backed Blackhawks46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb805…d1e2backed Penguins54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1b…8b7dbacked Penguins56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb158…05ebbacked Blackhawks44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f64…d5ccbacked Blackhawks46c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc01…fe38backed Penguins54c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0291…dfbbbacked Blackhawks46c69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…1f0ebacked Penguins54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc1…8162backed Blackhawks46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810a…8f87backed Penguins54c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Penguins57c65.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3760042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf643…fbf6backed Blackhawks45c63.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.932759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Penguins56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…17e0backed Penguins56c55.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1268…d0b7backed Blackhawks45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c4…9d6abacked Blackhawks45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6947…28b3backed Blackhawks45c54.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Blackhawks46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02b…537bbacked Penguins57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb256…79c8backed Penguins56c51.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.632560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…8546backed Blackhawks44c50.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0050…11adbacked Blackhawks45c49.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.382857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.