Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718abb46b6d2d69b3e1d03d0407e5dd648af9f9c72d512b6d54981f37c9fd917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 6,255$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.51 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 15c | 3,035$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.1 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…5741backed Yes | 78c | 2,179$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 14c | 1,788$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 1,257$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.66 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 44c | 1,087$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 993.32$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 579.95$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.17 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 19c | 520.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 467.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 465.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.91 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 427.44$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 393.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 9c | 337.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 41c | 290$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 23c | 262.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 261$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…85a6backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…c492backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 56c | 206.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -10.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 192.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 56c | 172.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 56c | 171.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 170.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 69c | 98.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 54c | 82.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 75.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…8c18backed Yes | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 46c | 68.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 45c | 61.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…754fbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 40c | 39.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 38.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 60c | 32.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 46c | 22.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Cambridge United FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.