Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Upset" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719f0dc9000613b07500c0fdda5bf2991e13003cbaad5af1638d641f7f8d2f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0050…cad1backed Yes | 36c | 1,365$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 65c | 800$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 56c | 166.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 59c | 69.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6895backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…2852backed No | 64c | 33.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…309dbacked No | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 64c | 28.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed No | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…580cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…a99abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Upset" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Altitude" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Save" or "Saves" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the match not air?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.