TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rays, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays55c30,110$16,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,490.2914747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Rays45c20,897$9,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.5527948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays46c12,214$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,646.741,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5001,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rays46c2,382$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.691,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays45c2,352$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.351,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays54c1,533$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays40c1,439$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays56c1,438$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays47c988.14$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.133349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Rays59c841.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Rays67c807.46$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4611357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa91c…69a3backed Rays45c770$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5819…e892backed Blue Jays55c770$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays65c751.63$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Rays73c554.22$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.641668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Blue Jays53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays40c452.17$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Blue Jays6c442.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays43c425$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67db…bd86backed Rays70c398.02$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rays46c365.23$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays53c315$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9523753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rays56c305.36$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Rays46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16214539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Rays69c260.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8712347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Blue Jays57c244$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.083865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays45c228.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.232,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rays11c221.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.051,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rays47c214.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.651,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays8c206.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Rays53c202.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.089854.1%53 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rays44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11293240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays46c181$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…eb96backed Blue Jays56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Rays43c161.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays31c135.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Rays41c124.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.756524.6%16 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Rays46c123$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rays43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5720448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7b…447dbacked Rays44c95.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays55c91.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Rays45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8949348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe21…0c36backed Blue Jays57c88.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e4…e7efbacked Rays72c57.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7c…163abacked Blue Jays55c51.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Rays44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2846753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rays73c49.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rays46c46.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946b…5857backed Blue Jays56c44.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays46c41.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fd…d3d4backed Rays44c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec41…2bb7backed Rays46c39.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.07988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x559b…7f88backed Rays44c38.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Blue Jays56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jays57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…823ebacked Blue Jays57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.956,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c2…88cdbacked Rays46c34.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c2…f57abacked Rays46c33.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3de…e08dbacked Rays48c31.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0650…a2eebacked Blue Jays56c31.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e80…db21backed Rays46c31.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4871…110bbacked Blue Jays56c30.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ca…612fbacked Rays46c29.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7664…7867backed Blue Jays55c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ffe…f8f5backed Blue Jays53c28.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…2f24backed Blue Jays56c28.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+67.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9de…07d5backed Blue Jays56c28.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa16d…2fdbbacked Rays46c28.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…ce78backed Rays46c28.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdf…d2dfbacked Rays46c27.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.06887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e8a…981dbacked Blue Jays53c27.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8065…4950backed Rays46c27.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.671850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a3…8b71backed Blue Jays56c26.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72b…e180backed Rays46c26.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…23f5backed Blue Jays56c26.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…f649backed Blue Jays57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c0…abdfbacked Rays48c25.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.011844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rays45c24.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa6…4da4backed Blue Jays56c24.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e0…c910backed Blue Jays56c24.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf211…01eabacked Rays48c24.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b1…0c27backed Blue Jays56c23.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…b1bfbacked Blue Jays56c23.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-84.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a9f…3cc5backed Rays46c22.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7220…1b9ebacked Blue Jays56c22.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…9606backed Rays46c22.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.341850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…b028backed Blue Jays56c22.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490d…472bbacked Rays46c22.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rays65c15.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.