MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739b3686f7c5b90c4c9a623786361f39b5b60017d3b4b3575af87a6a6f519e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,341$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.7 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 966.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.32 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 956.39$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.76 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…b633backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 745.14$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.67 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 567.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 516.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 435.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 361.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 200.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 174.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 166.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 137.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 65.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 65.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 55.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 43.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 34.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…9862backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.