Tennis · resolved market
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Francesco Forti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cf637f3f89afbfcf2ecc2d23be9974d371d5f322cd6e2435cd2fb6833edc0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pierluigi Basileof Pierluigi Basile, Francesco Forti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Pierluigi Basile | 76c | 3,775$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.91 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Forti | 4c | 3,097$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Francesco Forti | 24c | 2,585$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.49 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pierluigi Basile | 38c | 2,388$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pierluigi Basile | 61c | 2,036$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Francesco Forti | 25c | 1,657$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.02 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesco Forti | 62c | 1,322$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.76 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Francesco Forti | 14c | 843.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Francesco Forti | 6c | 833.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pierluigi Basile | 64c | 802.7$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.8 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pierluigi Basile | 72c | 782.26$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesco Forti | 35c | 590.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Francesco Forti | 15c | 581.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Francesco Forti | 64c | 468.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.38 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francesco Forti | 11c | 451.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 442$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Pierluigi Basile | 80c | 400.1$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Francesco Forti | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Francesco Forti | 5c | 372.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francesco Forti | 8c | 372$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Francesco Forti | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesco Forti | 8c | 344$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesco Forti | 60c | 335.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Pierluigi Basile | 37c | 254$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Pierluigi Basile | 74c | 245.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Francesco Forti | 20c | 219.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Francesco Forti | 44c | 201.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Francesco Forti | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Francesco Forti | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Forti | 15c | 194.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Pierluigi Basile | 61c | 161.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Francesco Forti | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Francesco Forti | 13c | 129.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Francesco Forti | 62c | 126$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…2cc0backed Pierluigi Basile | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Pierluigi Basile | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pierluigi Basile | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Pierluigi Basile | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Pierluigi Basile | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Francesco Forti | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Francesco Forti | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Francesco Forti | 24c | 82.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Francesco Forti | 41c | 80.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Francesco Forti | 29c | 70.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 69.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 67.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Francesco Forti | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Pierluigi Basile | 79c | 58.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Pierluigi Basile | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Francesco Forti | 28c | 53.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Francesco Forti | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pierluigi Basile | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Francesco Forti | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pierluigi Basile | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Francesco Forti | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pierluigi Basile | 34c | 44.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Pierluigi Basile | 68c | 43.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pierluigi Basile | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pierluigi Basile | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Francesco Forti | 54c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Francesco Forti | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Francesco Forti | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Pierluigi Basile | 36c | 28.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Pierluigi Basile | 76c | 28.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Pierluigi Basile | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Francesco Forti | 64c | 24.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pierluigi Basile | 66c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Francesco Forti | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Pierluigi Basile | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…99dbbacked Pierluigi Basile | 76c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…0fd6backed Francesco Forti | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.