Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cordenons: Martha Matoula vs Gabriela Ce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b6cadd8b749500e51dfbabd976fee24a374a45a0126fc8d5fe13543eb2c1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Ceof Martha Matoula, Gabriela Ce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martha Matoula | 45c | 1,590$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gabriela Ce | 56c | 665.47$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 599.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Gabriela Ce | 52c | 552.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Gabriela Ce | 52c | 251.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gabriela Ce | 56c | 233.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gabriela Ce | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martha Matoula | 47c | 215.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Gabriela Ce | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Martha Matoula | 44c | 133.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martha Matoula | 47c | 113.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Gabriela Ce | 63c | 104.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gabriela Ce | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gabriela Ce | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gabriela Ce | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Martha Matoula | 47c | 74.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gabriela Ce | 72c | 68.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Martha Matoula | 17c | 68.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Gabriela Ce | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Gabriela Ce | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gabriela Ce | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Gabriela Ce | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Gabriela Ce | 53c | 56.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Gabriela Ce | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martha Matoula | 43c | 43.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Gabriela Ce | 57c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Gabriela Ce | 52c | 33.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Gabriela Ce | 57c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Martha Matoula | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…be94backed Gabriela Ce | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.