MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760a903ad8de1cd4a1e4b86be53b4250345caca2aeae670f35a5bfd644fd8248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rangers | 44c | 4,600$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 1c | 4,337$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 56c | 4,034$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.04 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 18c | 2,678$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 50c | 2,588$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 25c | 1,987$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 54c | 1,776$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.92 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Rangers | 33c | 1,589$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 28c | 1,445$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Astros | 1c | 1,229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 39c | 1,144$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 55c | 996.44$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 42c | 982.35$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.33 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 44c | 961.5$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 23c | 658.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rangers | 44c | 565.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Astros | 56c | 444$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Rangers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 16c | 319.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 55c | 303.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers | 44c | 250.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 45c | 220.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 64c | 200.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Rangers | 45c | 187$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 44c | 167.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 56c | 163.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 31c | 138.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 37c | 133.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 43c | 132.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…966ebacked Rangers | 45c | 117.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 30c | 96.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Astros | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rangers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 47c | 85.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 24c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Rangers | 44c | 67.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Astros | 22c | 67.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…5079backed Rangers | 45c | 65.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…ac2abacked Astros | 56c | 64.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…ce56backed Astros | 56c | 56.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…c2e4backed Astros | 56c | 50.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Astros | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rangers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Rangers | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 33c | 37.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Rangers | 45c | 34.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rangers | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Rangers | 45c | 29.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 44c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astros | 55c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fac…99e9backed Astros | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Astros | 54c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…cdefbacked Astros | 56c | 18.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.