Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. Dplus KIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x761bee123baa6f8cede920213492221408f3e41a5246764e7288428e1604db2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof DN Freecs, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DN Freecs | 17c | 15,590$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.11 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 13c | 9,375$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.77 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed DN Freecs | 13c | 5,555$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked DN Freecs | 20c | 4,879$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 3,676$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.15 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed DN Freecs | 12c | 2,559$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.05 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked DN Freecs | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed DN Freecs | 13c | 2,283$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN Freecs | 24c | 2,196$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.16 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed DN Freecs | 25c | 1,635$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs | 13c | 1,510$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Dplus KIA | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…9d75backed DN Freecs | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Dplus KIA | 79c | 859.43$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…7047backed DN Freecs | 18c | 556.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +124%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed DN Freecs | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed DN Freecs | 15c | 429.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed DN Freecs | 22c | 353.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked DN Freecs | 15c | 353.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed DN Freecs | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 298$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed DN Freecs | 16c | 205$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed DN Freecs | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 148.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 143.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…264dbacked DN Freecs | 26c | 116.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed DN Freecs | 12c | 114.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed DN Freecs | 22c | 91.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed DN Freecs | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 79.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Dplus KIA | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Dplus KIA | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked DN Freecs | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked DN Freecs | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed DN Freecs | 28c | 50.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Dplus KIA | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Dplus KIA | 71c | 30.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…30c1backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.