TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Rockies, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies31c57,792$17,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,915.61,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants70c41,000$28,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,36025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Giants69c40,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,40055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants69c22,176$15,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,874.548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies18c18,083$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.872,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Giants74c16,103$11,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.167058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies31c15,833$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.2530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants70c12,483$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.581,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Rockies30c11,153$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.028861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies30c9,990$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.8443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Giants69c7,276$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.554445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockies31c5,779$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.3511544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rockies31c5,003$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.9331346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockies14c4,835$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.351,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockies3c4,764$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Giants69c2,959$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.292650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies31c2,953$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.4363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rockies26c2,651$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.497341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies7c2,100$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies30c1,932$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Giants69c1,851$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8114453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies3c1,767$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies30c1,686$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.911,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Rockies31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Rockies31c1,500$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies25c1,242$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies31c999.97$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies9c970$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.591,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies25c957.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies31c849.94$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies31c843.25$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4122142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies31c815$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies4c745$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.86,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockies10c724.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8246239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies2c700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.155852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Rockies3c666$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Rockies31c592$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies24c586.81$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.278,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies31c548$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8812436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies30c538.01$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies30c535.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7534245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Rockies31c512.26$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.811551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Giants69c458.08$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422885.7%24 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Rockies32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12813242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Rockies31c391.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Rockies28c359.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3311838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies6c353.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Rockies31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants69c319$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.891,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Giants77c300.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.57749.4%38 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8656351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies25c278.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Giants69c275.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Giants70c219.56$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8714864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc19…d4f6backed Rockies31c203.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c8…8fbabacked Rockies31c193.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Giants68c173.34$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4720748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…25ecbacked Rockies31c170.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed Rockies12c168.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.957427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670f…3f29backed Rockies31c155$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.911049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Giants69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9322958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.869357%53 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866866.2%45 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabc7…6187backed Rockies31c141.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d2…1744backed Giants69c136.23$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe6…2d0cbacked Giants69c134.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Giants69c130.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4325548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…4ae2backed Giants69c127.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dcd…17aabacked Giants69c126.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Rockies32c123.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.354352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c6…5db4backed Giants69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.943461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Giants69c111.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5938245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Giants69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Rockies31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb28e…adc0backed Giants70c98.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Giants69c98.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9053…cc67backed Giants69c94.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…15d4backed Rockies31c80.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.062536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Giants70c78.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockies28c77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Rockies14c74.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0713740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Rockies31c72.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a08…77e3backed Giants69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd229…8917backed Giants69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9401…85a1backed Giants70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…a8bcbacked Giants70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+55.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.