Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77efa29e0b686d6c20029d35c4618ee27a3feacaa4485aab5a375d2a22ee1914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 2,663$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.17 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,988$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 68c | 1,891$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.61 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 68c | 1,081$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 34c | 543.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.55 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 504.34$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 495.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 473.34$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…33e2backed Yes | 31c | 467.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 460$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 33c | 450.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 43c | 427.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 301.64$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 284.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 281.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 43c | 233.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 230.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 217.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…7ac5backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 66c | 153.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 29c | 152.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 151.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…9ee2backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 69c | 129.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 38c | 129.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 126.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 31c | 105.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…fddebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…17c4backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…fab4backed Yes | 31c | 93.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 44c | 78.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…d390backed Yes | 35c | 71.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…dd38backed Yes | 31c | 64.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…2decbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…4353backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…09b0backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…c776backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Yes | 32c | 40.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9652backed Yes | 31c | 37.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 32.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 41c | 31.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb131…01b7backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…9f1bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…43b0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…5ce5backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…d0c8backed No | 69c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…9794backed No | 70c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to score first vs. Brazil?this page
- Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?No won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.