Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787eb4f202454a6e554bf0ac400125aa1d397e3beb1e618192154102d46f32ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 8,112$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.72 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 6,696$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.74 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 4,922$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 1,655$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 1,288$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.22 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 845.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 592.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 441.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 22c | 369.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 43c | 262.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 55c | 259.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 232.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 222$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 212.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 47c | 208.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 207$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…8e5cbacked Under | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 166.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 120.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 51c | 117.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 55c | 90.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 41c | 79.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 56c | 70.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 64.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Over | 54c | 63.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 56c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 79c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 46c | 43.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 55c | 40.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…c756backed Under | 46c | 29.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 59c | 27.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 55c | 25.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 77c | 24.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 22.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.