Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8346ca5ea02ddcb30eace16ea80c16f9b83b6ff6c7f4f782117f3dbc69545255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 11,930$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.03 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 2,052$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.76 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 1,827$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.39 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 1,681$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.06 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 20c | 1,620$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,090$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.08 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 813.31$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 13c | 751$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 66c | 681.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 34c | 627.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.21 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 62c | 615$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 66c | 592$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 567.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.45 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 66c | 454.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 35c | 428.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 406.49$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 341.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 70c | 295.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 68c | 275.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 260.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 66c | 260$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 66c | 260$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 68c | 251.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 237.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 226.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 32c | 212$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 184.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 63c | 163$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 70c | 87.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 68c | 64.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 70c | 60.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 68c | 59.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 51c | 52.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…d4b3backed Over | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 66c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 69c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 68c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 69c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.