Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79273e0e06d209c732d0a97bbd424bf7b8944ad04e8a71138b60578d04237229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 24c | 10,049$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.76 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 36c | 8,533$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.85 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 76c | 5,900$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 3,341$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.79 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 76c | 2,929$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.4 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 2,100$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.94 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 2,067$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.36 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,065$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 958.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 23c | 841.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 76c | 401.29$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…1f85backed Yes | 61c | 337.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 327.38$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 62c | 320.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 23c | 245$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 6c | 223.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 61c | 222.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 76c | 191$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 182.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 26c | 142.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes | 73c | 142.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 74c | 134.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 25c | 132.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 64c | 125.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 67c | 102.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 33c | 96.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 42c | 96.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 23c | 90.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 23c | 88.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 24c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…ae05backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 77c | 68.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 65c | 57.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…b473backed Yes | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 64c | 32.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 77c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 67c | 28.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 59c | 26.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 69c | 26.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 53c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 70c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 60c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…a65abacked Yes | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Colchester United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Colchester United FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.