Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a45d40203b9176a1a0d06b40e6c39991155ab9c68483e313a8387168aa0f741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof GamerLegion, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,809 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked GamerLegion | 66c | 5,080$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.49 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…746ebacked GamerLegion | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 2,814$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GamerLegion | 68c | 1,554$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.23 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 1,343$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.27 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 1,321$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.87 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 947.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.06 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 891.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.63 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 741$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.83 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakutou Brothers | 65c | 676.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed GamerLegion | 67c | 406$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 380.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 69c | 313.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed GamerLegion | 64c | 310.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…a2aabacked GamerLegion | 33c | 301.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 300$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 46c | 268.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 245.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 175.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 22c | 136.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 46c | 126.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 100.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GamerLegion | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…76a6backed GamerLegion | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…128ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 82.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…2d03backed GamerLegion | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 65.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…f87cbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 65.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed GamerLegion | 28c | 54.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yakutou Brothers | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 68c | 43.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed GamerLegion | 66c | 41.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…9878backed GamerLegion | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 38.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed GamerLegion | 67c | 35.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 25.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yakutou Brothers | 63c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.