Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cdc681bde27b2cba81bbe3dae900e4dfdad476e203df62ac185def136bdb9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 3,823$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.68 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…766dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 3,113$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed GamerLegion | 67c | 2,839$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 2,176$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.95 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed GamerLegion | 56c | 2,142$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.12 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 2,027$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.59 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 68c | 1,867$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.33 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed GamerLegion | 56c | 1,358$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.87 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 1,163$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GamerLegion | 67c | 787.63$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.32 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yakutou Brothers | 6c | 769.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 517.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 484.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 480.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 443.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed GamerLegion | 70c | 436.17$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 430.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yakutou Brothers | 48c | 412.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed GamerLegion | 67c | 408.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 331$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 320.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 313.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed GamerLegion | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 300.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed GamerLegion | 57c | 298.45$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GamerLegion | 70c | 285.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 283.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 230.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed GamerLegion | 71c | 212.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed GamerLegion | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…82b4backed GamerLegion | 59c | 169.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked GamerLegion | 55c | 160.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 155.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 151.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 122.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked GamerLegion | 66c | 120.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed GamerLegion | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 91.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 83.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 64c | 76.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed GamerLegion | 54c | 70.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 59.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed GamerLegion | 58c | 48.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked GamerLegion | 73c | 30.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Yakutou Brothers | 47c | 30.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked GamerLegion | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed GamerLegion | 66c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed GamerLegion | 56c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.