Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale Bulldogs vs. Princeton Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa7f5e2dae00e8d0571bac374fbb4a55ac091f3ef5376fba5fdb4a68aabf69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Yale Bulldogs, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Princeton Tigers | 42c | 1,601$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.98 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yale Bulldogs | 58c | 1,421$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Princeton Tigers | 27c | 904.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.52 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yale Bulldogs | 57c | 861.8$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Princeton Tigers | 42c | 743$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Princeton Tigers | 60c | 613$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Princeton Tigers | 26c | 581.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.48 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 42c | 547.62$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 71c | 407.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Princeton Tigers | 26c | 386.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 33c | 376.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Princeton Tigers | 47c | 352.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 3c | 347.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yale Bulldogs | 63c | 296.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yale Bulldogs | 65c | 263.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yale Bulldogs | 44c | 228.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Princeton Tigers | 60c | 172.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Yale Bulldogs | 66c | 150.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yale Bulldogs | 68c | 147.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Princeton Tigers | 54c | 140.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Princeton Tigers | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yale Bulldogs | 32c | 94.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 77.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yale Bulldogs | 69c | 66.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Princeton Tigers | 52c | 53.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 33c | 48.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Yale Bulldogs | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yale Bulldogs | 62c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.