Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Dominik Palan vs Max Basing
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaf2cc823cb5dffe42e27aec0825085f5e4f878e3920c7f0bf7b045ba2cd611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dominik Palanof Dominik Palan, Max Basing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Max Basing | 22c | 37,418$8,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,242.87 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominik Palan | 52c | 9,188$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Dominik Palan | 65c | 7,410$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.82 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dominik Palan | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Basing | 78c | 4,352$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dominik Palan | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.99 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Basing | 56c | 1,262$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Basing | 16c | 1,031$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dominik Palan | 66c | 720.5$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Max Basing | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Max Basing | 60c | 633.44$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Dominik Palan | 35c | 592$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Basing | 70c | 553.15$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dominik Palan | 54c | 387.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dominik Palan | 11c | 298$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…2c7bbacked Max Basing | 26c | 291.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Max Basing | 29c | 252.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Dominik Palan | 20c | 241.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Basing | 18c | 231.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Dominik Palan | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Max Basing | 38c | 211.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Basing | 18c | 158.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Dominik Palan | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Dominik Palan | 33c | 156.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Max Basing | 76c | 131.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Dominik Palan | 21c | 130.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Dominik Palan | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dominik Palan | 24c | 104.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Dominik Palan | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Max Basing | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Max Basing | 64c | 74.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Max Basing | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Max Basing | 75c | 65.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Dominik Palan | 21c | 50.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Max Basing | 79c | 44.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Max Basing | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Max Basing | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Dominik Palan | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Dominik Palan | 56c | 27.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Dominik Palan | 71c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Max Basing | 76c | 26.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Max Basing | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Max Basing | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Max Basing | 54c | 24.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Max Basing | 44c | 22.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Dominik Palan | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Basing | 77c | 17.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Dominik Palan vs Max Basingthis page
- Dominik Palan vs. Max Basing: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Palan vs. Basing: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Palan vs BasingBasing won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.