Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b88cdfb1a78e1a915fdf95a2f5d01be0e575ec4f60d72dd46126a897aad6b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 2,600$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.56 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 43c | 918.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 725.97$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 44c | 651.77$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.78 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 425.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 43c | 365.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.26 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 317.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 43c | 229.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 201$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 133.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 61c | 119$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 35c | 104.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 14c | 85.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 75.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 60.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 59c | 56.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 58c | 52.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 36.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 32.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 27.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.