Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6b0b895caaabfb1209f2eb77d6a498806efb44649ddacc5b07c028ffe3cef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 4,235$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.58 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Execration | 30c | 3,011$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.35 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Execration | 29c | 2,166$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.56 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,748$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 39c | 1,722$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Execration | 30c | 1,576$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.58 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Execration | 29c | 1,521$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Execration | 29c | 1,011$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.12 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 660.06$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Execration | 34c | 462.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 430$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 426.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 410.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Execration | 40c | 395.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 369$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 31c | 301.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Execration | 27c | 299.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Execration | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 136.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…5a0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 114.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Execration | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…a5b6backed Execration | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Execration | 32c | 92.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 74.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Execration | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Execration | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Execration | 29c | 55.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Execration | 33c | 50.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Execration | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Execration | 30c | 38.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Execration | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked Execration | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 29.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…b095backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.