TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs David Goffin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
David Goffinof Ignacio Buse, David Goffin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ignacio Buse66c10,043$6,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,594.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked David Goffin34c7,002$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked David Goffin48c4,709$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed David Goffin13c4,594$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.3457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Ignacio Buse72c4,296$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.7746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88e8…90dcbacked David Goffin60c2,654$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Ignacio Buse49c2,028$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.6318651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked David Goffin42c1,810$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.1527247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed David Goffin18c1,759$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.369737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2790…94e6backed David Goffin33c1,688$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked David Goffin16c1,615$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.852,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed David Goffin19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2154,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Ignacio Buse79c1,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.9593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed David Goffin19c1,237$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.293,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed David Goffin21c1,052$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.4326131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed David Goffin20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ignacio Buse75c997.23$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed David Goffin29c993.33$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.1310453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked David Goffin7c989.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked David Goffin16c980.1$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.412254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed David Goffin21c962.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.081,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked David Goffin19c909.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.671,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed David Goffin31c767$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.974,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed David Goffin50c710.53$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6259253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked David Goffin15c528.35$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.417,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked David Goffin17c490.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5530715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c9…1cdabacked David Goffin8c426.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed David Goffin28c381.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7660943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cac…e0e9backed David Goffin11c344.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.352213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked David Goffin30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5318868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed David Goffin61c309.4$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed David Goffin38c298.74$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.926,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Ignacio Buse67c291.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.241,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…81c4backed Ignacio Buse25c283.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.061747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Ignacio Buse79c282.75$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3737351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf91…dc43backed David Goffin13c278.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6913261.4%81 W · 51 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked David Goffin18c273.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.121,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked David Goffin36c267.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7524340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Ignacio Buse27c264.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.681217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Ignacio Buse41c258.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed David Goffin20c250.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.463,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Ignacio Buse57c247.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9714772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2566…ae53backed Ignacio Buse80c247$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161c…9f62backed David Goffin28c237.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed David Goffin36c232.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9140548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…f413backed Ignacio Buse75c206.19$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.654355.8%24 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Ignacio Buse40c192.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.061,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ignacio Buse79c183.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed David Goffin21c183.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.718718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ignacio Buse54c176.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.752,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ignacio Buse33c171.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.32,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed David Goffin37c171.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.381,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed David Goffin58c170.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked David Goffin68c163.79$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.414,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ignacio Buse48c151.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.542,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed David Goffin21c150$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed David Goffin15c146.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.673,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8e11…8b81backed Ignacio Buse19c140.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked David Goffin21c136.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5164350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ignacio Buse77c132.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7663…43c1backed David Goffin14c130.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.14248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Ignacio Buse79c124.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7411457%65 W · 49 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Ignacio Buse79c120$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Ignacio Buse78c118.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3629461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Ignacio Buse17c117$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc779…c8a4backed David Goffin60c116.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked David Goffin20c114$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Ignacio Buse80c112.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7124249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed David Goffin21c104.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.281,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ignacio Buse15c103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.454,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked David Goffin23c97.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.933438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Ignacio Buse53c97.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7917850%89 W · 89 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed David Goffin21c95.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2624547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Ignacio Buse64c91.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.760661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed David Goffin22c89.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2823832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked David Goffin18c81.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8348650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed David Goffin19c79.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.134,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed David Goffin79c79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.596563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…71c6backed Ignacio Buse69c68.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47859%46 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Ignacio Buse68c65.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1224463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Ignacio Buse72c58.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9243553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Ignacio Buse34c55.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Ignacio Buse80c52.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.269856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Ignacio Buse57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.235848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked David Goffin54c50.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0638754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Ignacio Buse79c49.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed David Goffin21c49.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4954050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…9065backed David Goffin21c49.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.421850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed David Goffin21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Ignacio Buse75c41.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.431,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Ignacio Buse39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.645235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Ignacio Buse49c39.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4849342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed David Goffin47c39.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.714383.7%36 W · 7 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed David Goffin45c38.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Ignacio Buse78c37.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.614770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed David Goffin73c37.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0823758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b54…4f17backed Ignacio Buse79c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.621471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick77cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Ignacio Buse79c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6218166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed David Goffin62c37.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2828348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked David Goffin57c32.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.