Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e0372d9f7a856b4cdaad0736c18f79e9a590af0ba172da3e8eea4f4cf078009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 1c | 3,742$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…ed32backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 2cpaid | +639.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 80c | 2,461$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.7 | 167 | 95.8%160 W · 7 L | +62.3wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 86+0.32 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…2f85backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 24c | 643.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 45c | 481.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 881 | 24.1%212 W · 669 L | -40.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 47c | 253.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 49c | 216.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 22c | 208.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 50c | 198.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 57c | 179.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 178.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 167.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 68c | 160.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 632 | 47.3%299 W · 333 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 43c | 132.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 119.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 18c | 112.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 111.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 100.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 50c | 97.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 62c | 97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 940 | 44.8%421 W · 519 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 50c | 89.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 84.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 39c | 78.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 41c | 76.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 36c | 75.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2d1ebacked No | 35c | 61.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…7df1backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…b4b5backed No | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 61c | 56.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 48c | 55.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 61c | 53.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 52.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed Yes | 79c | 48.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 40c | 44.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,154 | 25%289 W · 865 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 55c | 43.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 855 | 35.7%305 W · 550 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 63c | 40.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 66c | 39.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 55c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 358 | 64%229 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 36.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 53c | 33.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 533 | 73.7%393 W · 140 L | +36.8wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 33c | 33.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 241 | 58.5%141 W · 100 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…a38abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 64c | 28.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…963dbacked Yes | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…0c18backed Yes | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…a644backed Yes | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…5026backed Yes | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…d661backed Yes | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 38c | 27.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…32f0backed Yes | 62c | 26.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 61c | 26.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,240 | 49.3%1,104 W · 1,136 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…0447backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…7dc5backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 58c | 24.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 65c | 24.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -19.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 23.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 62c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed Yes | 49c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 197 | 50.8%100 W · 97 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 55c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 671 | 38.9%261 W · 410 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f6fbbacked Yes | 74c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 414 | 43.2%179 W · 235 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 80c | 20.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3,201 | 53.6%1,716 W · 1,485 L | -101.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,154 | 63.3%731 W · 423 L | +28.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.