MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5760381d54ffc90a11f099ca246f36250a16f953fa0b936f13ffa4f3c1f671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 2,385$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.35 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 1,470$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.95 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 574.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 538.57$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 522.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 489.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 407.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 298.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 282.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 201.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 13c | 186.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 176.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 171.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 168.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 149.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 133.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 126.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 80.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 71.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 56.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…b5a2backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 53.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 53.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 49.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 48.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 46.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 43.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 41.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d5…cf99backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.