Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec6c95e57860109ba3a13ccf447d2fed65a4fdc1eaa4543eaec75fed1a6761e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 605.62$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 12c | 529.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 9c | 440.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 377.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 350.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 346.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 7c | 336.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 9c | 333.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 49c | 313.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…70c1backed Yes | 8c | 301.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 249.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 241.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed Yes | 23c | 221.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 201.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 14c | 190.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 187.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 18c | 184.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked Yes | 7c | 158.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 149.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 12c | 147.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 142.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 33c | 126.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 63c | 122.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 31c | 120.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…1fcbbacked Yes | 58c | 114.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 114.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 12c | 104.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 31c | 99.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 63c | 98.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…780dbacked Yes | 13c | 88.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 37c | 82.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 25c | 80.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 67c | 74.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…383bbacked Yes | 38c | 73.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 24c | 73.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 32c | 72.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 42c | 72.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…6fe7backed Yes | 34c | 68.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…242ebacked Yes | 55c | 62.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 23c | 58.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 31c | 57.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 56.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 55.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…c653backed Yes | 46c | 54.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 33c | 54.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 41c | 54.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 31c | 52.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 21c | 52.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed Yes | 35c | 48.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 44c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 68c | 48.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 68c | 48.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 69c | 45.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…0e79backed No | 67c | 43.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 99 | 80.8%80 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 78c | 38.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…74fdbacked Yes | 51c | 37.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…81c3backed No | 53c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed No | 58c | 33.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 32.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 59c | 32.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 39c | 32.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…7060backed Yes | 46c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…bcdbbacked No | 74c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…ecd9backed Yes | 59c | 29.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 28.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…b823backed No | 36c | 27.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…d2f6backed Yes | 61c | 27.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…b483backed Yes | 52c | 26.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 77c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 44c | 23.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…1ce1backed Yes | 47c | 22.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed Yes | 58c | 20.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…e13fbacked No | 76c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Yes | 59c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9611…f9aabacked Yes | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…6b01backed Yes | 63c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…9b79backed No | 64c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 74c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.