Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed97c0321cb8754cfa812b3d00e97546f96d021d76ee965e30a285a89df431d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 44c | 4,363$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.32 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 685.11$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 600.83$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 60c | 470.93$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.64 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 434.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 39c | 405.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 71c | 359.95$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 52c | 318.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 306.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 58c | 248.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 49c | 238.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 38c | 230.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…43b6backed Yes | 15c | 214.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 57c | 211.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 187.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 34c | 178.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 156.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed No | 50c | 148.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 70c | 146.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked Yes | 33c | 140.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +21.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 77c | 136.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 131.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 28c | 121.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…c7d9backed Yes | 60c | 112.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…901ebacked No | 58c | 110.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 58c | 96.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…c4d3backed Yes | 22c | 95.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +90%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 43c | 90.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 35c | 89.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 82.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…2fbabacked No | 66c | 82.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…9ca4backed No | 62c | 77.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 22c | 75.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 44c | 71.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…8486backed No | 52c | 68.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 16c | 68.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 68.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 65.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 20c | 64.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…a989backed Yes | 29c | 64.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 33c | 57.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 57.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…64cebacked Yes | 67c | 55.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 54.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 39c | 53.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 53.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 46c | 52.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 55c | 50.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 47c | 50.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…175bbacked No | 57c | 50.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdb…ba6cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 57c | 48.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 47.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 45c | 46.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 33c | 45.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 77c | 44.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 71c | 41.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…5e59backed Yes | 46c | 40.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 60c | 39.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…9744backed Yes | 41c | 39.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 77c | 38.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 36.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 47c | 35.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 45c | 34.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 49c | 34.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 42c | 32.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 58c | 32.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed No | 59c | 32.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed No | 60c | 32.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 43c | 30.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 29.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed No | 66c | 29.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…03d2backed Yes | 43c | 28.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 27.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…d079backed No | 73c | 26.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a52bbacked No | 57c | 25.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 73c | 25.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…8135backed No | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 55c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 70c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…0147backed No | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 73c | 17.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 77c | 16.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…f237backed No | 78c | 15.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.