NFL · resolved market
Will the New England Patriots finish with the worst record in the NFL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f479ff1b87d3d86471ddc711b0e2659efc084db90cfab7458879839413c7aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,881$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.28 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 22c | 1,478$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.28 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 14c | 1,386$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 13c | 580$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 80c | 548$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…ee9ebacked No | 37c | 545$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed Yes | 20c | 475$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…d776backed No | 39c | 460$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…babfbacked No | 39c | 460$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…001ebacked No | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…d8cbbacked Yes | 63c | 410$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 400.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…7e3fbacked No | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…cea2backed Yes | 61c | 380$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…ccafbacked No | 39c | 380$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…ee5bbacked Yes | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…2702backed No | 39c | 360$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…abd1backed Yes | 63c | 330$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…7713backed No | 37c | 312$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366b…9d4fbacked Yes | 62c | 305$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…6bfebacked Yes | 61c | 295$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…cdb0backed No | 39c | 295$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…e7cebacked Yes | 61c | 290$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…158ebacked Yes | 63c | 280$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…d301backed Yes | 63c | 280$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 273.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…f81abacked Yes | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…7ac3backed Yes | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…ba8ebacked No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…f416backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…4447backed Yes | 62c | 265$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…69d9backed Yes | 61c | 265$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…4172backed No | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…dbddbacked No | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…aceabacked Yes | 63c | 260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…1a83backed No | 37c | 255$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…ce28backed Yes | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…03f4backed Yes | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…cfc1backed Yes | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…2521backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…a9b7backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…ef86backed Yes | 63c | 245$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…e17dbacked No | 37c | 245$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…315dbacked No | 37c | 245$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…a1d4backed No | 37c | 245$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…09bcbacked No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…0765backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…7905backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…632fbacked No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…2442backed No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…172abacked No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…cefabacked No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…6ef9backed Yes | 61c | 235$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…411abacked No | 39c | 235$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 37c | 233.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…1e70backed Yes | 63c | 232$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…b568backed Yes | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…c53abacked No | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…5091backed Yes | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…0deebacked No | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…e27cbacked Yes | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 212.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…7da1backed Yes | 61c | 195$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…ea94backed No | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 63c | 175.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…4068backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…a78fbacked No | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4af8backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cf…2e02backed No | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…3533backed Yes | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…0b41backed Yes | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…f6aebacked Yes | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…e494backed Yes | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…5a2dbacked Yes | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…b711backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…8fe6backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…b707backed No | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 20c | 91.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…c874backed No | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…cf80backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…3eaabacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…caaabacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 56c | 69.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…23f5backed No | 37c | 67.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…c281backed Yes | 62c | 64.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…cc9cbacked Yes | 61c | 64.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c83…a7bcbacked No | 42c | 61.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 39c | 57.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…fddabacked No | 39c | 55.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Yes | 22c | 55.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…3effbacked Yes | 63c | 55.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…912dbacked Yes | 66c | 51.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…b74abacked No | 44c | 50.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…37e4backed No | 37c | 49.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…bba5backed Yes | 66c | 49.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New England Patriots finish with the worst record in the NFL?this page
- Will the Carolina Panthers finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the New York Giants finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the New York Jets finish with the worst record in the NFL?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.