TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the New York Giants finish with the worst record in the NFL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00a6…9343backed Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…4b1dbacked No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…cf7cbacked Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…7b17backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb528…da19backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460d…a253backed No45c970$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8a…1384backed Yes55c970$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a4d…64dbbacked Yes55c970$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e75…2336backed No45c970$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No41c857.88$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.0828337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes66c772.16$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.371809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbe0…0398backed Yes61c679.92$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes51c586.96$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30116259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes46c579.01$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes69c500.77$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.197844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…e17ebacked Yes79c251.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes46c250.12$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4115332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d95…4191backed Yes56c210.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes37c207.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6112240.2%49 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb4…8167backed No13c194.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes11c185$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.041520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes34c159.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.526428.1%18 W · 46 L-12.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf755…29edbacked Yes41c145.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d5…063cbacked No72c137.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…2ee5backed Yes54c124.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.13946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…502ebacked Yes26c116.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12937.9%11 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+46.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes30c104.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2419638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No27c99.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5612239.3%48 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf601…abb4backed Yes55c94.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0a…dbeabacked Yes53c91.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…fe90backed No48c90.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No20c85.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.88837.5%33 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes48c84.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…c0dbbacked Yes55c84.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…8404backed No50c82.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfc…3462backed Yes51c77.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee6…1a84backed Yes52c77.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed Yes50c74.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes15c73.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.094926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes29c72.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9205…c889backed No56c72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9642…30a7backed Yes53c71.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb0…0cafbacked No50c69.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4c…27b4backed Yes55c68.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e6…47d6backed No50c62.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3812…2104backed No50c61.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa913…f3c6backed Yes53c61.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x314f…a316backed Yes56c61.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…561abacked No51c60.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54bb…a03dbacked Yes52c60.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7604…04b2backed No47c60.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60e…5e62backed Yes53c56.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6b…9f9bbacked No51c55.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03da…8731backed Yes55c55.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes44c54.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8326830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe706…5cfbbacked Yes52c54.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…6adabacked Yes55c52.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab17…d077backed No48c50.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1148…db63backed No47c50.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa579…fb9cbacked No53c50.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa706…9363backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972c…a88fbacked Yes53c48.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a3…a5f7backed No50c48.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a1…65e6backed No49c48.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes55c47.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes54c46.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e00…b937backed Yes52c45.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…6722backed No50c45.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ef…e1d6backed No55c44.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd3…a643backed Yes80c43.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f0…daecbacked No48c43.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21e…6337backed Yes52c43.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5498…d120backed No27c43.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad98…79e8backed Yes36c41.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f50…f56cbacked Yes56c41.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes67c41.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1a…6afcbacked No52c40.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe85…3ac9backed Yes58c39.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde0…d2dbbacked Yes55c35.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb716…3806backed No50c33.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d855backed Yes51c32.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…cc6abacked No50c30.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd223…4c36backed No50c30.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c8d…2c34backed No50c30.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafae…add1backed Yes57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…b22cbacked No51c22.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff4…c000backed Yes50c22.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd12…0e1bbacked Yes51c22.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0eb…4c85backed No51c22.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…cfa5backed Yes50c21.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes55c21.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6430446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab6…7625backed Yes76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes54c19.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4331439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9be…9066backed Yes74c18.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.