MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803a3aafef0397bb27411641c99c8f21d6aad9b5652ba29060f7038ee8301f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed KT Wiz | 60c | 715.61$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KT Wiz | 55c | 412.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 61c | 384.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked SSG Landers | 75c | 326.29$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed KT Wiz | 59c | 304.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed SSG Landers | 44c | 285.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 45c | 246.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 215.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked KT Wiz | 55c | 198.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed SSG Landers | 45c | 197.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed SSG Landers | 43c | 196.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed SSG Landers | 44c | 186.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed SSG Landers | 45c | 160.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 43c | 160.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 33c | 136.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 131.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed SSG Landers | 41c | 120.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 39c | 117.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed SSG Landers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 40c | 97.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed KT Wiz | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 61c | 86.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 40c | 80.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed KT Wiz | 30c | 73.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SSG Landers | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed KT Wiz | 58c | 66.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked KT Wiz | 55c | 62.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed SSG Landers | 43c | 56.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 55.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SSG Landers | 62c | 47.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 56c | 45.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SSG Landers | 44c | 45.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed KT Wiz | 55c | 39.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed SSG Landers | 44c | 38.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked KT Wiz | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SSG Landers | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 56c | 34.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed KT Wiz | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed SSG Landers | 40c | 25.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…3fa9backed KT Wiz | 54c | 22.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…1462backed KT Wiz | 54c | 21.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 54c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SSG Landers | 76c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.