Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809d273827b47f663556735adce92c87316f1245c7b47a0825083dd4632f4ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 47c | 10,936$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.83 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 3,860$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,765$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 30c | 2,471$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.46 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 1,641$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 1,426$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 60c | 1,131$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 71c | 1,013$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 974.33$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 65c | 614.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 67c | 517.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 71c | 422.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 49c | 408.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 31c | 396.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 72c | 374.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 366.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 356.87$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 74c | 334$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 333.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 299.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 278.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 244.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 35c | 207$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 173.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 139.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 31c | 122.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 117.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 27c | 111.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 78c | 109.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…120cbacked No | 70c | 104.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 51c | 101.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 68c | 100.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 37c | 77.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 30c | 66.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 35c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…ee90backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 44c | 46.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 61c | 42.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 70c | 40.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 74c | 35.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 65c | 35.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 70c | 32.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 53c | 20.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 72c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 70c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.