Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a554bef00012b325f2d58f391a5236bd1a11a08dcdb5396e10f4fae136418e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Crossof Elizabeth Mandlik, Kayla Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Kayla Cross | 42c | 11,174$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.77 | 220 | 62.7%138 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 8c | 9,636$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.93 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 61c | 3,129$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.32 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 4c | 2,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 54c | 1,516$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.31 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kayla Cross | 38c | 1,429$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.93 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Kayla Cross | 35c | 1,412$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.74 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 58c | 1,342$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 62c | 1,274$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.89 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 53c | 900.62$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kayla Cross | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.84 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 44c | 532.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 66c | 498$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 69c | 442.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 67c | 433.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kayla Cross | 40c | 241.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kayla Cross | 41c | 212.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 62c | 196.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 13c | 168.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 8c | 156.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Kayla Cross | 35c | 133.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed Kayla Cross | 37c | 107.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 19c | 104.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 31c | 68.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 65c | 59.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Kayla Cross | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 58c | 57.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Kayla Cross | 38c | 54.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…557abacked Kayla Cross | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Kayla Cross | 39c | 52.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Kayla Cross | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kayla Cross | 36c | 32.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kayla Cross | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Kayla Cross | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 65c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 75c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.