TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Anastasiia Sobolieva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Laura Samsonof Laura Samson, Anastasiia Sobolieva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasiia Sobolieva1c26,726$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.514,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiia Sobolieva16c25,578$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Laura Samson78c15,616$12,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.685149%25 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiia Sobolieva29c3,823$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.318,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Laura Samson80c3,300$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66034655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Anastasiia Sobolieva19c2,913$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.66,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva49c2,904$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4234,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva27c2,736$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.393740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva34c1,840$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.3611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Anastasiia Sobolieva15c1,827$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.585,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Anastasiia Sobolieva37c1,653$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.351,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Anastasiia Sobolieva47c1,542$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.922,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010931.2%34 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309437.2%35 W · 59 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,463$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.258530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Laura Samson53c1,114$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.551,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Laura Samson68c1,104$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.74,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Laura Samson52c1,043$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.368,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Anastasiia Sobolieva2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620%0 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Anastasiia Sobolieva41c815.26$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.914,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasiia Sobolieva9c777$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.824,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva3c515.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36621.2%14 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Anastasiia Sobolieva19c484.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9870537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Anastasiia Sobolieva50c466$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed Anastasiia Sobolieva4c462.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.064615.2%7 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva31c374.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.872,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Anastasiia Sobolieva5c368.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.133165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Laura Samson57c339.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5162457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Anastasiia Sobolieva7c309.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Laura Samson58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.263,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Laura Samson52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Laura Samson62c227.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5616957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Anastasiia Sobolieva25c211.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Laura Samson52c205.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8743336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Anastasiia Sobolieva20c196.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.282,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca0…4b69backed Anastasiia Sobolieva20c181.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.697943%34 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Anastasiia Sobolieva20c180.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8730132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Laura Samson54c180.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2129149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Anastasiia Sobolieva6c172.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Laura Samson56c169$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3644758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Laura Samson56c163$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7239159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Laura Samson56c151$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4439157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Laura Samson64c137$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.181,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Laura Samson53c122.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4139446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Laura Samson51c113.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.363,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Anastasiia Sobolieva58c106.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.831,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Anastasiia Sobolieva43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0556153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37d…c735backed Laura Samson65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Anastasiia Sobolieva52c87.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Anastasiia Sobolieva35c86.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cb…d64bbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Anastasiia Sobolieva34c78.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6455941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Laura Samson69c74.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1926253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Laura Samson24c65.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5534729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Laura Samson70c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Laura Samson52c61.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1987741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Laura Samson52c61.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1842546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Anastasiia Sobolieva43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Anastasiia Sobolieva48c52.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3122366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Anastasiia Sobolieva35c50.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6444138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa671…f693backed Anastasiia Sobolieva49c44.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Anastasiia Sobolieva47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5338…f428backed Laura Samson52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Anastasiia Sobolieva48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1634851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Anastasiia Sobolieva48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Anastasiia Sobolieva48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Laura Samson48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6765434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Anastasiia Sobolieva49c40.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.629147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Laura Samson64c37.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva49c36.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Laura Samson53c35.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.96256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Laura Samson52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Laura Samson48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Laura Samson48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Laura Samson76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Laura Samson74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Laura Samson76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Laura Samson52c28.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Laura Samson66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2794058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f6…fbfbbacked Laura Samson52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Laura Samson53c24.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7415651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Laura Samson60c24.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.976355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Laura Samson52c23.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0715557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Laura Samson51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Laura Samson73c22.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68354.2%45 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…4efdbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Anastasiia Sobolieva50c20.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Laura Samson52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.616046.3%74 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.