NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81053b1c64570b870c2d450242e155092c2dc72622bd900993c5baaaead374b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 3c | 1,690$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…7cdbbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 1,684$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.7 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 897.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 62c | 759.5$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 431.01$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 57c | 339.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 323.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 314.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 80c | 240.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 237.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 211.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 194.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 173.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 57c | 169.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 167.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 42c | 162.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 73c | 158.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 59c | 101.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 98.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 20c | 84.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 72.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 59c | 69.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 68.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 57.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 54.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 50.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 20c | 49.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…fde8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 49.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 48.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 23c | 45.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 73c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 79c | 43.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 35.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 30.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 79c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 78c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.