MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81435fef1681974a19023e3913afc21dda577edab1fa50212c317fa91de9cb57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed SSG Landers | 59c | 997$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 40c | 547.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 291.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed SSG Landers | 72c | 264.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 60c | 215$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467d…2fdbbacked LG Twins | 18c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed SSG Landers | 69c | 97.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked LG Twins | 35c | 97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed LG Twins | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed LG Twins | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 67c | 50.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed SSG Landers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed SSG Landers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…d916backed LG Twins | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed LG Twins | 60c | 42.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed SSG Landers | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed SSG Landers | 67c | 34.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 23.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed SSG Landers | 67c | 20.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed LG Twins | 59c | 16.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.