Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8354c174b56678a42e7c0abf619b2aef22f28d5d2f2e7810c73ccd4caae75142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 78c | 12,813$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.82 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 22c | 6,581$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.95 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 76c | 2,605$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.79 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 22c | 1,952$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.03 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 24c | 1,822$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.59 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 21c | 1,536$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.83 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 22c | 1,288$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.64 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 22c | 1,197$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.51 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 22c | 921$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.38 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 76c | 888.27$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed Over | 24c | 877$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Under | 79c | 640$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 22c | 541$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 21c | 431.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…37a3backed Over | 24c | 410$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 24c | 407.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 79c | 341.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 79c | 251.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 79c | 251.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 21c | 239.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 160$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 79c | 112.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 79c | 101$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 24c | 80.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 79c | 73.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 79c | 53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 52.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…e3fdbacked Under | 79c | 26.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…98cfbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…446ebacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Under | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…2058backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Under | 77c | 17.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -9.7wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Under | 78c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL PlayoffsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports won
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 WinnerGamespace Mediterranean College Esports won
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 2 WinnerSpartans EU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.