Lol · resolved market
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89fc5d335be1d4116a1c3512d22fbcf8f486afc91376f0780e3dc02d9fb57c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spartans EUof Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports, Spartans EU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Spartans EU | 14c | 6,982$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.36 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Spartans EU | 16c | 4,229$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.5 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed Spartans EU | 26c | 2,416$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.8 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Spartans EU | 14c | 2,174$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.84 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Spartans EU | 16c | 1,878$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Spartans EU | 60c | 1,557$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.66 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Spartans EU | 17c | 1,501$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.98 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spartans EU | 16c | 1,398$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.91 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Spartans EU | 16c | 1,319$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.96 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Spartans EU | 23c | 1,209$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Spartans EU | 17c | 1,078$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.8 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 57c | 1,053$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.28 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Spartans EU | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 153 | 33.3%51 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Spartans EU | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…3e22backed Spartans EU | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Spartans EU | 23c | 999.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.76 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spartans EU | 33c | 947.58$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.62 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -9.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Spartans EU | 16c | 904.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.29 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Spartans EU | 31c | 746.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.24 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Spartans EU | 16c | 734.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.2 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spartans EU | 22c | 672.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.42 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Spartans EU | 14c | 547$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.42 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Spartans EU | 23c | 513.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.63 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spartans EU | 13c | 498$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.13 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 68c | 480.13$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Spartans EU | 65c | 464.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 69c | 400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Spartans EU | 17c | 364.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Spartans EU | 23c | 320.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Spartans EU | 12c | 263$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartans EU | 33c | 258.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked Spartans EU | 64c | 235.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…94ecbacked Spartans EU | 77c | 234.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Spartans EU | 46c | 200.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Spartans EU | 48c | 176.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 8c | 176.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 7c | 166.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed Spartans EU | 63c | 157.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 57c | 147$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Spartans EU | 16c | 146.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spartans EU | 28c | 122.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 42c | 120.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 51c | 106.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spartans EU | 34c | 106.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Spartans EU | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Spartans EU | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Spartans EU | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 32c | 90.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 52c | 87.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spartans EU | 17c | 78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…0da4backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spartans EU | 56c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 72c | 68.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spartans EU | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed Spartans EU | 46c | 41.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 74c | 40.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 59c | 40.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…218cbacked Spartans EU | 63c | 40.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Spartans EU | 25c | 40.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Spartans EU | 38c | 39.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Spartans EU | 79c | 35.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Spartans EU | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Spartans EU | 57c | 26.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Spartans EU | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL PlayoffsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports won
- LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 WinnerGamespace Mediterranean College Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.