South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8386b8ac7243ad484a797b5aa35ea7e48039ecfa5ee009a005f0c5a4b56330c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 3,867$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.34 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 62c | 3,212$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.53 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 1,709$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 67c | 1,426$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.36 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 47c | 1,088$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.95 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,050$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.74 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 29c | 1,042$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 4c | 589.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 37c | 539.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 30c | 485.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 384.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 30c | 250.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 53c | 187.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 70c | 175.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 28c | 171.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 41c | 166.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Yes | 76c | 142.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 14c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 31c | 94.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 343 | 41.1%141 W · 202 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 15c | 94.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 1,272 | 56.1%713 W · 559 L | +72.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 81.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 930 | 46.3%431 W · 499 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 77.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 68.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 41c | 66.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 59c | 60.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 189 | 46.6%88 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 57.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 33c | 47.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 47.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 46.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 43.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed No | 60c | 42.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 32c | 41.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 37.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 37.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 934 | 45.1%421 W · 513 L | -28.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yes | 55c | 31.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 48c | 29.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 61c | 26.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 67c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 13.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,559 | 45.1%703 W · 856 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-24?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.