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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b62…5cc8backed No68c15,000$10,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.825269.2%36 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c6,451$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.72,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No31c5,731$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.0313135.1%46 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No18c5,276$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.478427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes48c4,119$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.9824437.3%91 W · 153 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes66c3,884$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.0224932.9%82 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c3,600$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1702,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No54c3,480$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.542,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9735946.8%168 W · 191 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No61c2,132$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.051,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No30c2,053$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.414936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes32c1,904$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.286352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No32c1,465$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.782839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes32c1,390$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.845040%20 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38421647.2%102 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No70c1,161$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.796848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No43c1,106$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c1,097$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.028,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No46c1,024$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.93438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011437.7%43 W · 71 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes3c989.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6914930.2%45 W · 104 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes33c984.61$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.927035.7%25 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes50c973.77$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.220736.7%76 W · 131 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No67c962.83$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.745068%34 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes80c926.38$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.381,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c924.34$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.791,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No69c839.28$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.184060%24 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c829.55$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.343,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked No39c762.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.032860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No59c742.98$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.125366.4%168 W · 85 L+27.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed No44c741$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes41c727.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007833.3%26 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes32c725.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1823067%154 W · 76 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No35c677.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.58030%24 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c619.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.281,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No62c600.25$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9212453.2%66 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes32c585$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.232640.2%131 W · 195 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4322345.7%102 W · 121 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c561.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.753,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes64c558.69$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9234341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes79c490.41$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.462055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No33c450$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.517750.3%89 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes66c433$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1893445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes65c393.51$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3311143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked No77c390.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.96666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c385.48$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.325,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed No56c320.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.637460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes31c318$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.589053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a00…59e2backed No68c298.88$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes77c291.96$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7693046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes75c251.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2914349.7%71 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015725.5%40 W · 117 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No68c247.3$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8727339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes65c238.13$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3717264%110 W · 62 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes69c234.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.56561.5%40 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes71c225.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes69c218.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.645966.1%39 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…ef97backed Yes60c189.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No79c180.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.114042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes12c180$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No43c167.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.637861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No44c160.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7622933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes69c142$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.611,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes13c117$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2174258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c115.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.862,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked No44c109.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.094323.3%10 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes55c109$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.212050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes73c91.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6719749.7%98 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes75c89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0818946.6%88 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes21c88.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4770153.2%373 W · 328 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.644161.7%272 W · 169 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes33c78.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2819154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked No38c78.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked No67c76.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No35c74.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.297643.4%33 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.512752%66 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4eb…d3f0backed Yes29c58.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,68850.8%857 W · 831 L-4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No36c47.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7114549%71 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No53c45.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3610445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes64c45.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8315141.1%62 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No52c43.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.919251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes41c43.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.648625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No68c43.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8972336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No68c43.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Yes35c42.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.544761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes74c40.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6728…a070backed No68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.