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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c7,859$5,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.672,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes35c6,538$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.2751935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No76c4,325$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.2319755.8%110 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes35c4,306$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.6310154.5%55 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9e…936ebacked No65c3,050$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes15c3,047$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.566144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763372.7%24 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes35c1,415$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2372336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes38c1,373$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,301$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.738,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes11c1,284$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.111824.6%29 W · 89 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes4c1,272$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.731,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes36c1,240$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes5c1,157$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.444936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,128$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.35,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c1,110$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.921,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes6c1,110$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0211035.5%39 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No67c1,097$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36223067%154 W · 76 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No79c1,007$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.316848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No70c857.31$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.326459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes39c785.17$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1524932.9%82 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No65c540.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.352166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No58c529.17$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.292839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No62c506$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2812453.2%66 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013137.4%49 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No74c343.3$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6327339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes41c308.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.217264%110 W · 62 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No62c302$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7632640.2%131 W · 195 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes27c295.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1117642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes17c237.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.038625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No67c228.06$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.268957.3%51 W · 38 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes38c216.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4920736.7%76 W · 131 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes27c211.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3911143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c174.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.293,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes29c174.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041641.1%171 W · 245 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No67c171.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5310660.4%64 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No78c165.19$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7936041.4%149 W · 211 L-26.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes33c157$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c137.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0481356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes37c129.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3193445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No64c120.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2452649.8%262 W · 264 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.941,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes21c110.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c105.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.174555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,68850.8%857 W · 831 L-4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes12c99.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2f…1673backed No79c90.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes32c81.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7670153.2%373 W · 328 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No72c74.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7515543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes34c63.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2721…3e21backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.270%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c57.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.444561.6%274 W · 171 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes34c51.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.683240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.525653.1%136 W · 120 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No67c48.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0914851.4%76 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No78c45.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8519251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes41c45.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.529848%143 W · 155 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes30c41.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5922349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c41.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No65c36.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9220742.5%88 W · 119 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes38c34.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673d…8623backed Yes35c32.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes35c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.239532.4%128 W · 267 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes38c31.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.886561.5%40 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No65c29.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No75c26.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6410445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No65c21.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7219154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No65c19.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9726455.3%146 W · 118 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ced…54aebacked No65c18.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412955.2%16 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.