Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c3c53055d9fcc2e301bb530367216da6863b9f4beac4a2977b622e2d8ca0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 322.07$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 65c | 300.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 23c | 272.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 21c | 264.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 64c | 264.51$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 49c | 247.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 71c | 169.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 29c | 162.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81a…dce9backed Yes | 40c | 156.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 11c | 156.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…6cc9backed Yes | 35c | 152.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 34c | 147.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 69c | 143.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 143.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 136.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 78c | 135.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 132.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 129.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 126.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 49c | 126.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 62c | 122.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 49c | 116.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 63c | 112.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 43c | 103.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…2496backed Yes | 36c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 101.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 49c | 100.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…af02backed Yes | 37c | 98.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 52c | 95.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 23c | 87.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 28c | 69.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 67.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 24c | 67.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 65.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 30c | 64.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 53c | 63.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 51c | 57.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 56.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 37c | 50.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…279ebacked Yes | 46c | 49.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 32c | 47.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…4bb2backed Yes | 30c | 47.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 62c | 47.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…a939backed No | 52c | 43.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 67c | 42.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 42c | 41.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 27c | 41.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 48c | 38.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…fbdebacked Yes | 42c | 37.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 54c | 35.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…409ebacked No | 52c | 34.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 34.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…1380backed Yes | 47c | 34.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 37c | 34.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 72c | 33.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 32.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…d13ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…bba7backed No | 53c | 29.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…88f3backed Yes | 49c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 54c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 62c | 28.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…cda7backed Yes | 45c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 39c | 27.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 42c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 25.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 61c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 42c | 24.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fa82backed No | 52c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7339…636dbacked Yes | 51c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 79c | 22.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…be43backed No | 56c | 22.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 49c | 21.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 68c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5563…51bcbacked Yes | 54c | 20.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…abdbbacked Yes | 51c | 20.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked No | 60c | 17.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.