Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9753c4bbae294955f828080c5a9e7f41a6d9ea8e037b7f24366d65e8f0f096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 15c | 861.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 26c | 609.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 22c | 607.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 30c | 601.18$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 407.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 315.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 14c | 269.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 16c | 254.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 20c | 214.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 70c | 208.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 184.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21c…8828backed Yes | 21c | 179.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 175.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 25c | 168.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 168.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 27c | 165.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…6cc9backed Yes | 35c | 155.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 147.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 132.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 20c | 131.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 36c | 131.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 9c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 78c | 124.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 79c | 123.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 26c | 116.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 116.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…e8b4backed Yes | 20c | 113.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 31c | 104.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 102.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 80c | 101.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…af02backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 21c | 99.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed Yes | 33c | 93.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 91.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 31c | 89.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 24c | 88.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 73.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 76c | 71.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 19c | 67.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked Yes | 18c | 57.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…c23ebacked Yes | 25c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…6fe0backed Yes | 27c | 52.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…e6a8backed Yes | 22c | 52.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 21c | 48.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 28c | 48.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 71c | 47.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 78c | 46.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 78c | 45.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 75c | 43.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 73c | 43.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 42.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…cda7backed Yes | 24c | 42.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 77c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed No | 74c | 39.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…5b8ebacked No | 77c | 37.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 70c | 34.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 80c | 30.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 79c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d364backed No | 79c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 74c | 25.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 79c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 73c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 80c | 22.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…40babacked No | 69c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…ced0backed No | 69c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 69cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2085backed No | 79c | 18.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 70c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…701ebacked No | 67c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 73c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 74c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.