Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Valentina Steiner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ed07cb505088516d184d09d3f8832eb38cf1314d6cf2ee4de4a58be4a9e822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Steinerof Maria Florencia Urrutia, Valentina Steiner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 45c | 2,739$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valentina Steiner | 47c | 1,919$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Valentina Steiner | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 850$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.55 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 73c | 779.16$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 53c | 666.96$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 66c | 609.67$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valentina Steiner | 56c | 524.28$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 56c | 392.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Valentina Steiner | 76c | 310.52$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 57c | 297.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 69c | 296.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 31c | 293.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 55c | 259.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valentina Steiner | 48c | 255.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Valentina Steiner | 28c | 171.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Valentina Steiner | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Valentina Steiner | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 56c | 143.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Valentina Steiner | 43c | 142$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 56c | 123.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 55c | 115.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Valentina Steiner | 37c | 112.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 31c | 108.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 57c | 108.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Valentina Steiner | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Valentina Steiner | 29c | 84.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valentina Steiner | 29c | 83.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 43c | 77.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Valentina Steiner | 30c | 71.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valentina Steiner | 53c | 60.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 54c | 59.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Valentina Steiner | 37c | 59.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 59.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Valentina Steiner | 29c | 58.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 56.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 30c | 49.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valentina Steiner | 66c | 44.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 43c | 44.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Valentina Steiner | 28c | 39.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Valentina Steiner | 49c | 37.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 36.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Valentina Steiner | 54c | 36.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 31c | 35.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Valentina Steiner | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 42c | 32.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Valentina Steiner | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 66c | 30.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Valentina Steiner | 54c | 27.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Valentina Steiner | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Valentina Steiner | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Valentina Steiner | 73c | 21.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed Valentina Steiner | 54c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…2955backed Maria Florencia Urrutia | 63c | 20.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Valentina Steiner | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Valentina Steiner | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Valentina Steiner | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Valentina Steiner | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Valentina Steiner | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Valentina Steiner | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valentina Steiner | 57c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Valentina Steiner | 57c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Valentina Steiner | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Maria Florencia Urrutia | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.