Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8424c047af5c21c9cf136799c6aa259405555c354b0522bb7baa62b5d1684b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 32c | 280.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…3febbacked Yes | 39c | 251.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 251.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 44c | 238.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 60c | 199.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 188.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 29c | 144.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 140.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 32c | 123.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 65c | 109.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…8588backed Yes | 38c | 93.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 87.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 86.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 44c | 75.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed No | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 30c | 71.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 37c | 67.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 65.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 30c | 64.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 63.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…b197backed Yes | 42c | 63.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 59.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 53c | 55.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 52.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 40c | 51.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 39c | 50.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…1de3backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 40c | 48.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 37c | 46.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 45c | 45.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…ad23backed Yes | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 66c | 41.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 67c | 40.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 61c | 32.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 62c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…293cbacked No | 62c | 31.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7d5dbacked No | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 45c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 63c | 25.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 25.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…9be0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…25eebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…e3a2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 56c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 70c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 70c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 69c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.