MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84bb1d880fec53cb3452aef9c87341a0d0b8a21f7718954b7f0a44a84b9d9b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Atlanta Braves, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,453 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 9,758$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 4,703$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.34 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 4,003$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,791$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.24 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,951$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.65 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,818$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.15 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,710$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.65 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 674.8$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.16 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 592.15$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.23 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 547.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 481.82$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 400.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 289$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 277$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 272$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 253$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 242.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 215$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 214$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 201.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 196$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 153.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 149.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 121.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 105.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 96.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 82.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 72.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…eababacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 61.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 54.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Atlanta Braves | 23c | 45.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.