Tennis · resolved market
Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84fc3f34ea7d4609630077ed6a76a8da016a589d0348beeea5449cda3c4d62c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Kickerof Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, Nicolas Kicker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 12c | 2,600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2c | 2,533$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Kicker | 79c | 2,205$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Kicker | 74c | 2,058$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.03 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 11c | 2,035$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 19c | 1,858$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 24c | 1,580$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 4c | 1,142$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 993.18$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.72 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 69c | 905$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 3c | 804.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Kicker | 79c | 773.01$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 16c | 737.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 708.36$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Kicker | 52c | 548.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 23c | 478.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Nicolas Kicker | 52c | 448.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Nicolas Kicker | 52c | 388.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 12c | 235.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 221.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 5c | 210.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nicolas Kicker | 79c | 194.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 24c | 136.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 131.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 129.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 18c | 115.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Nicolas Kicker | 80c | 105.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 87.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nicolas Kicker | 72c | 86.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nicolas Kicker | 52c | 83.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 17c | 67.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…ec82backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolas Kicker | 76c | 64.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Nicolas Kicker | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 63.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Nicolas Kicker | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Nicolas Kicker | 72c | 60.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 41c | 59.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 47.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…bc33backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 35.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 46c | 33.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…d4b0backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Nicolas Kicker | 55c | 29.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 29.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Nicolas Kicker | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Nicolas Kicker | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…668fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Nicolas Kicker | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.