Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Granada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e56e8ef9f86bdf27c466ea940f872988e192566a793647738951152b66ef2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Bilbao Basket, Granada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Granada | 45c | 1,410$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilbao Basket | 69c | 989.42$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Granada | 19c | 972.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilbao Basket | 68c | 839.15$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilbao Basket | 63c | 766.6$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.94 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Granada | 34c | 672.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Granada | 32c | 640$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Granada | 19c | 461.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Granada | 20c | 442.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilbao Basket | 55c | 401.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Granada | 19c | 349$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Bilbao Basket | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilbao Basket | 77c | 269$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilbao Basket | 64c | 264.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Granada | 37c | 186.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 184.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Bilbao Basket | 75c | 148.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Granada | 30c | 132.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Bilbao Basket | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Granada | 20c | 107.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bilbao Basket | 69c | 104.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Granada | 20c | 69.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Bilbao Basket | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bilbao Basket | 71c | 60.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 58.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bilbao Basket | 70c | 50.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilbao Basket | 73c | 48.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bilbao Basket | 69c | 34.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bilbao Basket | 69c | 26.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bilbao Basket | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bilbao Basket | 71c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.